Rajasthan Vidhan Sabha / Thakur's well, Harish drew the line of 2028 from Valmiki's poem?

Rajasthan Vidhan Sabha: Date 18 July and place Rajasthan Vidhan Sabha in Jaipur. As soon as former minister and Congress stalwart Harish Chaudhary started reciting Om Prakash Valmiki's poem Thakur Ka Kuan while speaking on the budget speech, there was an uproar in the assembly. Along with the ruling party, Shiv's independent MLA Ravindra Singh Bhati strongly opposed it. The MLAs said that Chaudhary is promoting casteism in the assembly and targeting a community.

After the assembly proceedings were over, Chaudhary came in front of the media and clarified on reading Thakur Ka Kuan. Chaudhary says that I have talked about rights and the same people are opposing it, who have this thinking. Amidst the allegations and counter-allegations, the question is being raised in the political corridors of Rajasthan that why is a senior leader like Chaudhary reciting Thakur Ka Kuan in the assembly? Is this a strategy or political compulsion?

What did Harish Chaudhary say in the assembly?

Speaking on the budget speech, former minister and Baytu MLA Harish Chaudhary said that it only talks about kings and princes. There is nothing in the budget for the poor people. Harish then started reciting the Thakur Ka Kuan poem by Om Prakash Valmiki. BJP and independent MLAs started opposing this poem of Harish.

Harish said that no opposition can stop me from speaking against feudalism. Sharing the video of the poem, Chaudhary wrote - This poem will never be liked by those who will see their own thinking in the words of this poem.

First talk about strategy - Has Chaudhary drawn the line of 2028? Only one question is arising from this poem recitation of Chaudhary in the Rajasthan Assembly that has Chaudhary already decided the agenda of the 2028 assembly elections? Understand it in detail in 3 points…

1. Harish's Thakur versus All issue was a hit

Harish Chaudhary was in charge of the Lok Sabha elections held in Barmer in 2024. Chaudhary first made Jat face Ummedram Beniwal a candidate from Congress and then prepared the strategy of Thakur versus all. Here, independent Ummedram was pitted against independent candidate Ravindra Bhati and BJP candidate Kailash Chaudhary.

If we talk about caste equations, Jats are 18.7 percent, Dalits are 16.6 percent, Rajputs are 12 percent, Muslims are 11 percent and tribals are 6 percent in Barmer. About 35 percent of the population belongs to other small castes.

This formula of Chaudhary was a hit in Barmer and Ummedram managed to win. According to the Election Commission, Ummedram defeated his closest rival Ravindra Bhati by about 1 lakh 28 thousand votes. Ummedram got about 7 lakh and Bhati got about 5.5 lakh votes.

BJP's Kailash Chaudhary stood third and got 2 lakh 86 thousand votes. Interestingly, in the assembly elections held just 3 months before the Lok Sabha elections, Congress had won only 1 out of 8 seats in Barmer Lok Sabha. BJP won 5 and independent candidates won 2.

2. Efforts to create a new equation in the whole of Rajasthan?

After Harish Chaudhary's poem, there is speculation whether Congress is engaged in an exercise to create a new equation in the whole of Rajasthan. If we talk about caste equations, the upper castes in Rajasthan are around 18 percent, in which around 9 percent are Thakurs (Rajputs) and around 6 percent are Brahmins.

OBCs in the state are around 40 percent, which include 12 percent Jats, 5 percent Gurjars and 2 percent Yadavs. The population of Dalits in the state is 18 percent and that of tribals is 13 percent.

At present, the state unit of BJP is dominated by upper caste leaders. Chief Minister Bhajanlal Sharma himself is from the Brahmin community. Similarly, Deputy CM Diya Kumari Rajput and State President CP Joshi are also Brahmins.

3. Upper caste-Dalit votes decreased, OBC-tribal votes increased

According to CSDS, in the 2023 assembly elections, Congress got 33 percent votes of the upper caste community, which decreased to 26 percent in the 2024 elections. Congress has also got less Dalit votes in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections as compared to the 2023 assembly elections.

In 2023, Congress got 48 percent votes of Dalits, which decreased to 46 percent in 2024. However, Congress has got a lot of votes from OBCs and tribals in 2024 as compared to 2023. In 2023, 33 percent OBCs voted for Congress, which increased to 39 percent in 2024.

Similarly, 33 percent tribals voted in favor of Congress in 2023. It increased to 40 percent in 2024.

Now let's talk about political compulsion- does Chaudhary want to establish himself in the state?

54-year-old Harish Chaudhary has been an MLA and MP as well as the in-charge of Congress. Currently, he does not hold any major post in the organization. There has been talk of Chaudhary being posted in Rajasthan since 2013, but till now he has not got any major post in Rajasthan politics.

He was a minister for a few years from 2018 to 2021, but then he was sent out of Rajasthan. Chaudhary comes from the Jat community and Govind Singh Dotasara of the same community is currently the state president. Chaudhary is considered to be from the Sachin Pilot camp. He is also close to Rahul. In such a situation, Chaudhary is already laying the political chessboard for 2028.